The Libra Observer

🇬🇧⚖️The Libra Observer: Crypto End-of -Year News

analisys about libra and cryptocurrencies

Analysis, forecasts and the last two months of Libra and cryptocurrencies stories

Telegram’s Libra and Gram project

On the internal side Facebook has purchased servicefriend, an Israeli chatbot platform to support customer services: acuired sources have specified the destination of the know-how to Calibra. In mid November an update of the project describes the progress of the ‘beta-test’; in December the white-paper was revised with the elimination of the possibility of distribution of residual dividends to the first investors. Finally, Facebook Pay started, practically a PayPal in fiat currency among users of the group’s platforms. Nothing therefore suggests that the project will be abandoned.

With regard to Gram and TON we are in the midst of the legal diatribe between the SEC and Telegram about the ICO, which has already been mentioned in this blog, and which should have a boost towards February in terms of hearings. Also here a few new ones: investors in the ICO have refused the early repayment proposed by Telegram (cause postponement exit in the market) and the company has issued an open-source test-wallet to try.

The scenario is that both Libra and Gram will see the light by 2020 and that they will prosper at least for the next five years: as the first is expected to have a slower genesis than the plans initially expressed, while the second (which is not a stablecoin) does not see any obstacles to development.

For those who want to introduce and deepen the subject two analyses that say nothing new but give a good picture of the situation to date by the Institute of International Affairs and Infoguerre.

Stablecoin and National Cryptocurrencies (CBDC)

With the same line of reading, based on the threat to the existing one, should be approached the analyses that institutions such as the FSB (Financial Stability Board) and the media expression of the financial establishment make about the danger of Big-Ones come on finance scene, especially on the retail segment.

The second line of institutional reaction is to face with a more efficient technology than the present one which, if adopted indiscriminately, would have serious repercussions on the existence of those financial intermediaries which are reason for life for the institutions themselves. Therefore, the road of non-reviable metabolisation follows two courses: short to medium-term feasibility analyses and a front for adoption in the near future. The first group includes, for example, the ECB with the PEPSI project, which involves 20 European banks, and the P27 Nordic Payment project, between Swedish, Finnish and Danish banks with the blessing of their respective central authorities.

The second trend includes a fairly large and growing number of countries that will enter the market with a CBDC by 2021. The most representative, driven by reasons ranging from the need for control to embargo problems, passing through the actual awareness about the potential of the instrument, are China, Iran, Ghana, Turkey, and, within the EU, Sweden and France.

The scenario is that within the middle of the next decade many CBDC will be on the market, going to change the current balances governing the intermediaries. With the exception of happy islands such as the North European countries, and under current conditions, it is expected that the EU and the US will be destined to chase the technology and experience gap that currently sees Eastern, Arab and even African countries significantly ahead. In this perspective, Big-One’s entry into finance loses significance in terms of parallel financial markets (i.e. proprietary stablecoins and cryptocurrencies) to buy in in terms of alternative services offered to banks.

For those who want to approach the stablecoins here an excellent reference.

Bandits and regulation

At the beginning of the year, the FATF recommended extending the rules on cross-border transfers to Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASPs). This results in reports that have to emerge when the transaction exceeds certain levels, like cash or bank movements. If VASP is a crypto exchange in theory, at least for the larger ones, there should be no problem. However, CipherTrace highlights the widespread shortcoming of the category in KYC procedures. If you use cryptocurrencies devoted to privacy and/or own wallets (with proprietary hardware, not third-party managed platforms) the issue becomes complicated.

First of all there is the problem of currencies such as Monero or Zcash born for the protection of privacy, according to ChiperTrace however residual in the exchanges aimed at the illicit. The exchangers, or the authorities in their absence, should be able to detect independently the different parameters of the exchanges but for obvious technical reasons this is not possible. During the Crypto Compliance Symposium and the Travel Rule Compliance Conference and Hackaton, both held in San Francisco in June and November of this year, all the privacy-coins representatives expressed the view that it is possible with certain options on transactions to trace the identification parameters. This logic applies when the author of the transaction is charged with an illicit, in his defence, and not for the purposes of preventive control. From another point of view, if the transaction in any cryptocurrencies takes place between autonomous wallets, control is impossible.

The medium-term scenario envisages a tightening of compliance for authorised intermediaries so that they themselves act as a filter for situations such as privacy-coins-like situations. The measures will serve little purpose because if the purpose is illicit, or simply to protect one’s privacy, the use of intermediaries based in Virgin Island type jurisdictions or their own wallets is a solution that greatly circumvents the obstacle. Therefore, to effectively combat the problem, it is necessary to resort to intelligence solutions that in advance damage the digital rights of everyone: ChiperTrace and others in the sector, with their products and solutions, are the concrete case.

Miscellaneous

Excellent analysis on mass non-adoption after 10 years of cryptocurrencies.

SAGA, a stablecoin model not linked to a particular currency, nor to a basket but to an IMF asset: very good idea.

From Praxxis a possible solution to the upcoming problem of quantum processors and new threats to cryptocurrencies integrity.

The umpteenth story, but very well argued, on the origins of Satoshi Nakamoto.

This is an English adaptation of a neuronal Italian/English AI translation by DeepL

Innovation Intelligence Analyst | Meditator Zombie | Middle Age Hikikomori | Digital Borderline | Has A Black Hole Under The Pillow |A Bad Product Of💜Venezia🦁

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